England is currently 3 points behind Australia and Wales with an inferior points difference. If they win their last two games with a bonus point against Uruguay they will then have 15 points, which will be enough for them to qualify. Australia has to play England and Wales, and can afford to lose to England if they beat Wales. The first and most important game for Wales (and the other teams) is their contest tomorrow against Fiji. If they win with a bonus point, they will put all the pressure back on England in particular, although winning the group to avoid SA in the QF may not be necessary as Scotland might replace them. The prospect of three teams trying to finish second in the group is unlikely as NZ await in the SF in that half of the draw. Phew, calculators at the ready...
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